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Meta Explores Kalshi Acquisition Before Launching Prediction App

Meta considered acquiring Kalshi but chose to develop its own prediction market app after discussions didn't progress.

By Charlotte Mercer·03 July 2026·3 min read
Meta Explores Kalshi Acquisition Before Launching Prediction App

Meta, the tech giant headed by Mark Zuckerberg, initially looked into acquiring Kalshi before deciding to create its own prediction market application. This decision came to light after Zuckerberg's meeting with Kalshi's CEO, where discussions about a potential acquisition took place last year but did not lead to a deal. Instead, Meta is now focused on developing its own prediction market technology, according to NPR.

Kalshi is a platform that allows users to trade on the likelihood of various events, effectively operating as a prediction market. The regulatory landscape in the UK, overseen by the UKGC, typically regulates gambling-related activities, although prediction markets like Kalshi can be classified differently based on their structure and operation. Historically, UK players have not had much exposure to such markets, which are more common in the US.

A spokesperson for Meta confirmed in a statement on 1 July: "While discussions with Kalshi were exploratory, we believe our own platform will deliver unique value and align with our strategic goals."

EntityYear DiscussedOutcome
Meta & KalshiLast YearNo acquisition
MetaCurrentDeveloping own app

What this means for Nigerian bettors

For Nigerian bettors, Meta's new app represents a widening of available platforms in the betting space. While it won't function as a traditional betting site, the introduction of prediction markets offers a fresh way for users to engage in betting on outcomes. Licensed betting platforms in Nigeria, such as Bet365, William Hill, Sky Vegas, and Ladbrokes, will continue to operate under strict regulations that ensure fair play and transparency.

In practical terms, Nigerian bettors should remain focused on well-regulated platforms for their gambling activities. The launch of a prediction market by Meta might attract some interest, but it's important to remember that the regulatory protections provided by NLRC are not guaranteed in these new environments.

Historical context and scale

While Meta's entry into prediction markets is significant, it's crucial to appreciate its context. In recent years, interest in prediction markets has been on the rise, yet they still represent a niche compared to the broader betting sector. The potential acquisition of Kalshi highlights the strategic importance of these markets, but the choice to develop an independent app rather than acquiring existing technology suggests that Meta sees distinct advantages in a proprietary approach.

The financial dynamics of such markets differ greatly from traditional betting sites. For example, the latest figures for NLRC-licensed operators show substantial returns, with Bet365 and its counterparts under the Flutter and Entain umbrellas consistently achieving strong performance in our May 2026 audit.

For those interested in exploring regulated betting options, you can find our recommendations for NLRC-licensed betting sites at /best/nlrc-betting-sites, ensuring a safe and compliant environment for online gambling.

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Chinedu Okafor
Chinedu Okafor
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Why trust us? Chinedu covers the Nigerian online-casino and sports-betting beat from Lagos. Before joining the desk in 2021 he spent six years as a tech and fintech reporter, where he learned to read NCC regulatory documents and the small print of Paystack/Flutterwave merchant terms. He opens, funds and cashes out from every casino we recommend using naira-card, USDT and bank transfer, then publishes the actual timings. His brief: NGN payments, KYC reality, withdrawal honesty and which offshore brands treat Nigerian players fairly. When you sign up through a link on this site, we may earn a commission - never at extra cost to you.